May 01, 2017

Windows 10 finally on the move?

Happy 1st of May! Time to see what's happening with Windows 10 adoption.

This was the end of March:


this is the end of April:


and this is the 6 month trend:


All from NetMarketShare.

It remains to be seen how the tech press choose to spin this, but there's no denying it: Windows 10 finally managed a substantial uptick of 0.92%, while Windows 7 (which Microsoft officially stopped selling last August) finally ticked downwards by the same amount. It's only one month, of course, and we've seen similar small swings be followed by substantial reversals before, but it could be that Windows 10 has finally managed to do enough, barely, to mollify customers' privacy concerns, while polishing enough rough edges off the product to finally start luring customers away from Windows 7 again.

Perhaps all those businesses that were telling Gartner about their upgrade plans actually meant it, this time. If nothing else, this means that Microsoft can look forward to at least one month without headlines about Windows 7 gaining market share while Windows 10 remains flatlined... even though the 6 month trend line still looks pretty damn flat. Windows 10 will have to manage at least three months of this kind of near 1% (or more) growth before I'll call this anything like a trend in increasing adoption rates.

Also of note this month: Apple's latest MacOS version remained pretty much exactly where it was (-0.01%), while Linux ticked downward by 0.05%, neither move being large enough to be considered significant; interestingly, though, the "Other" category, which presumably includes Google's ChromeOS, also moved this month, ticking upwards by 0.24%. Not sure what's going on there, but it could be that we're seeing the impact of Google's Chromebook, which has been selling really well lately. With the contest for schools' market share heating up between Google Chromebooks, Microsoft's upcoming Cloudbook, and Apple's iPad, it will be interesting to see if NetMarketShare and others start breaking ChromeOS out separately at some point to keep track of it all.